The ESTIMASI PRODUKSI PADI DAN KONSUMSI BERAS DI KABUPATEN OGAN KOMERING ULU TIMUR PROVINSI SUMATERA SELATAN TAHUN 2030

Abstract

This study examines the estimation of rice production and rice consumption in OKU Timur Regency, South Sumatra Province in 2030. The research method uses secondary data from 2010 to 2021. Data analysis is to analyze the development trend of rice production in 2030 in East Ogan Komering Ulu Regency using the method least squares (OLS-Ordinary Least Squares). The results of the research are the estimated rice production in East OKU Regency is expected to continue to increase until 2030 which will reach 1,058,045.58 tons of GKG, with an average growth rate of 1.75 percent. Meanwhile, it is estimated that rice consumption in East OKU Regency will continue to decline until 2030 reaching 48,884.79 tons with an average reduction rate of minus 2.3 percent. Thus, the large availability will be stable until 2030.